Tuesday, 24 January 2017

Dictation Exercise - 12


Mr. Chairman, Sir, all the important points have clearly been mentioned here by the hon. Members. At this juncture, I would like to link the monetary policy with demonetization. Even though I am not an expert on banking matters, with my limited knowledge I view the subject matter in this way. As I understand, the monetary policy document, which has already been circulated to us well ahead this time, makes two things very clear. One is that the objective of the monetary policy will be to target inflation within a band of two to six per cent, and secondly, effective monetary policy transmission is a prerequisite for the monetary policy to achieve its objective. One of the challenges with effective transmission has been that the banking system operates in a liquidity-deficit mode which the RBI intends to shift to a (140) liquidity-neutral mode. One of the factors behind this persistent liquidity deficit has been the surge in cash usage in (160) this country in the economy even while deposit growth has been subdued. Actually, this concern has been flagged off by the previous RBI Governor and also the SBI Chairman, Shrimati Bhattacharya. Thus, growth in cash usage can be a serious impediment to fulfilment of RBI’s monetary policy objective.

About the legality of the Government action, let me give my strain of thought on that. The growth in cash usage could well have been a concern of the Central Board of the RBI in its recommendation to the Government to declare Rs.500 and Rs.1000 notes to be no longer legal tender. The Government acted in accordance with section 26(2). All the hon. Members have already made this idea clear.(280) Section 26(2) of the RBI Act states, “On recommendation of the Central Board, the Central Government may, by notification in the Gazette of India, declare that with effect from such date as may be specified in the notification, any series of bank (320) notes of any denomination shall cease to be legal tender.” As for the question of whether recommendation of the Central Board itself followed any advice of the Government, Section 7(1) of the Act states, “The Central Government may, from time to time, give such directions to the Bank, as it may after consultation with the Governor of the Bank, consider necessary in the public interest.” I conclude those viewpoints after reviewing of the monetary policy document. So, the above analysis brought out by me suggests that the RBI Act envisages a process of two-way consultation between the Government and (420) RBI without any one party unilaterally instructing the other. Thus, the Government may have been persuaded by its own concerns of black money, counterfeit notes, terror funding, corruption etc., give directions to the bank on demonetization as per Section 7 and the RBI may have weighed its own concerns like challenges to monetary policy transmission in its recommendation to the (480) Government on demonetization as per Section 26, following which the Government made that declaration again as per Section 26. I think this is the background of the whole thing which has resulted in the policy decisions on demonetization and after that digitization also has become a factor to be reconciled with. We have all heard about what has been happening after this. My question to the respected RBI Governor is, what is the action mooted by the RBI(560) to track the black money that had sneaked back into the financial system? There have been several reports on that. I do not know whether I can ask this question. What are the improved security features of the new currency notes to prevent counterfeiting? If it does not violate the security reasons, you need not divulge this information. If it does not, we would like to know about it.

Digital India is our dream; it is the dream of the people. (640) For instance, in a small country like Kenya, about 90 per cent of the youth are using e-currency systems. Several countries are using this. In a great country like India with all its potential of IT industry, we should make use of digital systems here also. (700) We all know about certain things which have already been conveyed very clearly, like shadow economy or parallel economy that has prevailed. How far is the RBI able to control that shadow economy which has been eating the vitals of the economy of the country so far? Tax evasion is universal in India. How far has the tax evasion been curbed by the process which has been mooted by the RBI? We all know that transparency in financial transactions is a myth in India. How far has this new digitization process helped in exposing corrupt transparency in all financial transactions in the country? Of course, we all know that this is a bitter brew. (800) Hon. Prime Minister himself told this to the country that after a waiting period of 50 days there would be good results. So, it is a bitter brew but it will be sweet soon. It is becoming already sweeter. People have (840) adjusted to this. I salute my countrymen for their resilience and for taking it in their stride and seeing that something good is happening in the country for the first time. I would like to put a few more questions to the RBI Governor. Everybody has got apprehensions about the issue of the needs of rural people being addressed. How far have those needs been taken into consideration? Banking connectivity in the rural areas is quite poor, as all of us understand. India Post is functioning under the Banking Act and the network of India Post should have been made use of by the RBI to ensure better connectivity and better facility for financial inclusion of the rural people. (960)  This could have been facilitated by using about 136 lakhs post offices working in this country.  It is a huge (980) facility which could have been put to use in such a time when there was financial crunch in the beginning. The BhIM app has been designed by the Government of India and RBI has played a key role in that.  I congratulate them for that.  It will become a universal application of India.  We will not have to pay commission to America by way of Visa Card usage or to China by using PayTM or to some other country.   India has already designed the RuPay Card and now there is BhIM app.  How far has the RBI been successful in promoting BhIM app not only to the urban people but also to the rural people in this country?  It could also be a good remedial step.        

I feel that somewhere something is happening and that could be a phenomenon.  From media reports, (1120) I find that somebody is trying to sabotage the good intentions of the Government of India, especially some banks.  I read some reports that some kind of sabotage or some hand is working behind this.  For instance, some unwholesome activities are taking place between the banks.  I found that rich men got a lot of new currency of the denomination of Rs. 2000 in their hands.  How is it possible?  It means there are some lacunae somewhere.  That has to be looked into by the Reserve Bank of India.  I would say that the people in the country at large believe that demonetization is the right tool to end corruption, black money and fake notes and the first step in a far-reaching transformation in the functioning of our economy, bureaucracy, and of course, political parties also.(1260) So, this is a brave decision taken by the hon. Prime Minister.  We will have to support it heart and soul.(1280) As mentioned by the hon. Members here and as mentioned in media reports also, all of sudden there was a big infusion of deposits in Cooperative Banks.  Deposits to the tune of six-fold took place in Cooperative Banks all over the country in four days after the note ban was announced.  This is something fishy.  The Reserve Bank of India must deeply examine what went wrong and how it happened in Cooperative Banks which are people’s banks.  I am sure somewhere some mischief has been played by somebody.  Even the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court had a doubt over the whole system but the people of India did not have any doubt at all.        

Finally, some people also mentioned in media (1400) that counterfeit notes circulated by Pakistan are not an issue at all.  But I dare say that it is a big issue.  Pakistan has made use  of  fake notes  to destabilize  the Indian  economy.   There  are proofs of it because (1440) I am also a Member of the Committee on External Affairs.   The country’s economy was undergoing a devastating effect caused by fake notes brought by terrorists.  So, there is a background material linking monetary policy with demonetization brought out by the Government of IndiaLet us go by this good decision of the Government and let us follow in the right stride and see that India becomes a strong economy.  The whole world is looking at India; the whole world is curious about how things are happening in this country.  Let us see that RBI’s hands are strengthened to see that everything goes very well in this process. (1548)



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